BVBL has a post he called "the math error" although in fact he's not reporting a math error at all, but rather a likely cause for ALL the supposed "overvotes" -- that the front desk simply didn't do the counts by precinct correctly.
In fact, in the ONE instance reported, there were supposedly two delegates who weren't counted at ALL as being there, but were actually there and had valid badges for one of the overvoted precincts. If there were two, it's likely there were more than two.
In fact, given that the front desk rejected some people, and they had to go to the credentials committee and get hand-written badges, it's possible THOSE people weren't counted either.
It's also possible a couple people were allowed to vote in the Lake Ridge precinct when they weren't tagged for the precinct. However, I'm beginning to discount that. The Lucas monitor for that precinct is a long-time republican operative, and is hardly the kind of person you'd expect to make an error like that. And since she hasn't said anything about allowing people who weren't allowed to vote to vote, and since she had control of the ballots which were all numbered, it seems highly unlikely that a person with the wrong name tag voted.
It's too bad they don't collect the valid name tags at the end, so they could go through and count them to see how many were issued for each precinct. But remember, the Lucas election monitor had to put an ''X" on EACH AND EVERY voter in the Lake Ridge precinct. Does ANYBODY here think the Lucas election monitor would have put an "X" on a name tag that was NOT in that precinct? Why would the Lucas election monitor hand out ballots to three people who had the wrong name tags?
Since the only reason would be to cause overvotes and get the precinct thrown out so her candidate would win, and since nobody would accuse a Lucas campaign person of doing that with no evidence, I have to think that she marked 80 "X" marks on 80 valid Lake Ridge Precinct votes.
It will be interesting to hear what SHE thinks caused the overvotes in her precinct. I can't imagine she'll say she allowed invalid votes just for her candidate to win, nor can I imagine the RPV would throw an election to a candidate if the candidate's appointee was the reason for the error. Especially to throw out 77 good votes to win the election because of the error.
Anyway, there's a simpler solution since the election wasn't that close. Throw out 3 gill votes in the precinct and nothing changes. Since the precincts are all weighted, there's no point in throwing out the whole precinct, that would disenfranchise voters in a way contrary to the point of having weightings.
Fact is, if you think there could have been overvotes in one precinct, there could have been people voting wrong in EVERY precinct. But there's no indication of a single person being CAUGHT voting in the wrong precinct.
My guess is that this will unfortunately end up at the RPV. And my expectation is that, they being smart people, will do the math, realise that you could even throw 10 gill votes out of the "overvoted" precinct and he would STILL win the race, and properly reject the appeal.
That is, if we even know all the facts. My guess is there's a lot of things both sides have that are being held close. Heck, we are just bloggers. It's not our place to make these decisions, and we probably get in the way more than help.